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홍차넷
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티타임
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- 다양한 주제에 대해 자유롭게 글을 작성하는 게시판입니다.
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전체기타일상/생각꿀팁/강좌방송/연예도서/문학영화의료/건강문화/예술경제생활체육과학/기술철학/종교정치요리/음식역사여행육아/가정IT/컴퓨터음악창작게임스포츠사회오프모임
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| Date |
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| Name | Picard |
| Subject | 윤석열 정치 시즌 2 |
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안녕하세요. 정치 이야기 좋아하는 아잽니다. 윤총장이 대권촐마 선언하고 한달간 계속 악재만 터졌습니다. 초반에는 이미 알려져 있던 장모와 아내 였는데... 본인 이야기도 나오기 시작하고... 이젠 본인이 설화를 일으키고 다닙니다. 김경수 지사 유죄확정, 구속은 야권에게는 호재라서 윤총장이 '특검 더 해야 한다. 대통령이 연루되었는지 보자!' 라고 했는데, 여권은 당연하고 야권까지도 '야, 니가 막은거잖아!' 라고 공격을 해서 윤총장이 어리둥절 하는 상황이죠. 그래서 그런지 윤총장 지지율이 빠지고 있는데... 재미있는건 중도에서만 빠지는게 아니라 보수에서도 빠집니다. 윤총장이 야권 단일 후보 되려고 한달동안 보수쪽에 맞춘 말들을 많이 했음에도요. 가장 최근의 조사인 TBS-KSOI 조사에서는 여전히 1위이긴 하지만 윤총장이 4% 가 빠졌습니다. 빠진건 최재형이 2.5%, 홍준표가 1.4%, 유승민이 0.5% 씩 받아 먹었고요. (안철수는 0.2% 빠짐.) (사실 오차범위가 있기 때문에 5% 이하를 따지는건 의미가 없지만요.) 범보수권 후보 추이를 봐도 윤총장만 2% 정도 빠지고 나머지 보수후보들은 약간씩 올랐습니다. 안철수 대표조차도. 최근 3개 여론조사 결과를 뜯어보면 국민의힘 지지층에서 윤총장 지지율이 소폭 빠졌다고 하는데... 윤총장 및 참모들은 착각해서 중도층은 반문의 기치인 자신이 쥐어 잡고 있고, 야권 경선 승리를 위해 국힘 지지층에 손을 뻗는다는 전략을 취한 것으로 보이는데... 정작 국힘 지지층은 윤총장이 좋아서 지지한게 아니라 '정권교체를 위해서 될놈을 밀어주겠다' 였다는거죠. 중도층이 빠지니까 지지율이 흔들리고 국힘도 갈아탈 생각을 한다는거죠. (어떤면에서 보면 국힘 지지층의 이 태도는 상대적으로 전략적입니다. 민주당이 지금 친낙, 친명으로 나뉘어서 서로 상대가 후보되면 기권하네 어쩌네 하고 있으니...) 그래서, 사람들이 계속 참모가 잘못된 조언을 하고 있다. 여의도 정치를 모르는 사람들이 오판하고 있다. 라는 지적을 계속 해왔습니다. 이달초에 야권 평론가가 '지지율이 흔들리기 전에 국힘에 들어가야 한다. 빠지고 나서 들어가면 들어가는 효과가 약해진다' 라고 했는데, 엊그제 이준석 대표와 윤총장이 만났습니다. 지지율이 빠지니까 국힘 지지층에 '여러분, 저 국힘 입당합니다' 라는 시그널을 보여주려고 한 것 같은데... 정작 윤총장이 현재 국힘 당원이나 당직을 가지고 있는 정치권 중진들을 캠프에 스카웃해왔고, 이준석 대표는 해당행위라는 말까지 하며 징계 검토 한다고 합니다. 국힘내에서도 '어차피 들어오실 분, 미리 캠프 합류했다고 해당행위 운운은 너무한거 아니냐' 라는 말도 나오면서 '친윤 vs 반윤' 프레임까지 나오더군요. 김재원 최고는 "8월초니 뭐니 재지 말고 당장 들어와라. 안들어오니 이런 말이 나오는거다." 라고까지 하고요. 지금 반윤 = 이준석이 되어버렸죠. 윤총장 입장에서 국힘 들어가면 이준석이 내편을 들어주거나, 최소한 공정하게 경선 관리할거라는 믿음을 못 갖는것 같습니다. 이제부터 윤총장에게 중요한 시기입니다. 누구왈 이미 실기해서 늦었다고 하는데... 여의도 정치권 인사들을 캠프에 받아들이면서 기존에 보여주던 아마추어적인 모습이 안나온다면..? 그리고 국힘에 입당하므로서 선캠프 합류한 자기 참모들을 방어해준다면? 윤총장의 지지율 하락세는 반전시킬 수 있을거라고 봅니다. 하지만, 여전히 아마추어적인 모습을 보여주고 설화를 일으킨다면... '아, 이게 참모의 문제가 아니라 윤총장 본인의 문제네?' 라는 생각이 들기 시작할거고, 선캠프 합류한 사람들이 국힘에서 징계 받는데, 방어도 안해주고 입당도 계속 잰걸음을 한다면, 국힘내에서 윤캠프 합류해봐야 소용 없다는 생각을 하기 시작할거에요. 그러면 여전히 A급 인사들 영입은 어려워지겠죠. 윤총장이 이제 새로운 모습을 보여줄지, 이준석 대표가 계속 반윤 행보를 보일지... 미드에서 시즌 파이널 클리프 행어로 끝나는 느낌입니다. 다음 시즌 프리미어에서는 어떻게 진행될까요? Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 133 Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 146 Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 161 0 이 게시판에 등록된 Picard님의 최근 게시물
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Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/view.php on line 646
Warning: Use of undefined constant HTTP_HOST - assumed 'HTTP_HOST' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/cmt_replace.php on line 3
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 6
Warning: Use of undefined constant file_name - assumed 'file_name' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 28
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 65
160630 class="iamcmt" style="display:none;"> Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 66
160630 class='vcm '>
Warning: Use of undefined constant x - assumed 'x' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 70
Warning: Use of undefined constant x - assumed 'x' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 71
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 76
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 117
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 118
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 119
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 120
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 121
160630'> 매뉴물있뉴
Warning: Use of undefined constant mod_date - assumed 'mod_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 133
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 140
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 140
Warning: Use of undefined constant reg_date - assumed 'reg_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 142
21/07/27 10:37
160630>삭제 주소복사
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 150
지금까지 보면
....오늘 운전학원 등록한 아마추어 느낌..?;
불과 몇달만에 갑자기 F1급 코너링을 보여줄수 있을지 모르겠읍니다.
안철수씨도 그때나 지금이나 똥볼차는 실력 여전하신것처럼
그냥 안되는 사람은 안되는 무언가가 있지않나 해요..;
요즘은 최, 홍, 유를 좀 더 눈여겨 보고있읍니다.
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 158
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 166
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
1
....오늘 운전학원 등록한 아마추어 느낌..?;
불과 몇달만에 갑자기 F1급 코너링을 보여줄수 있을지 모르겠읍니다.
안철수씨도 그때나 지금이나 똥볼차는 실력 여전하신것처럼
그냥 안되는 사람은 안되는 무언가가 있지않나 해요..;
요즘은 최, 홍, 유를 좀 더 눈여겨 보고있읍니다.
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 158
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 166
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
1
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