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홍차넷
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주식
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- 주식이야기를 자유롭게
- 코인이야기도 해도 됨
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|
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요즘 한국물건 수출 잘된다는 이야기가 섹터 막론하고 많습니다. 반도체 잘팔려 차 잘팔려 김 잘팔려 핫도그 잘팔려 만두 잘팔려 불닭 잘팔려 관광객도 많이와 올리브영 털어가 화장품 잘팔려...
이르케 다 잘 팔리는 건 제품경쟁력도 경쟁력이지만 환율빨이 좀 이쓰요. 미국 현지 물가는 개비싼데 안그래도 싼 코리안 물건이 환율빨로 더 싸짐. 이러면 셔럽 앤 텍마머니 되는 것입니다.
물론 이런 상황은 영원히 지속되기 어렵읍니다. 시장질서가 그렇쥬. 코리안들이 수출로 넘 다 해먹을라카면 자연스럽게 원딸라 환율은 하락합니다. 걍 직감일 뿐이지만 1300 아래로 내려가는 게 아주 먼 미래는 아닐 듯.
이런 생각이 들었으면 체소한 연금계좌로 매수하는 미국etf정도는 환헤지로 매수해야하지 않을까 싶어서 오늘 그렇게 실천했읍니다. 환헤지로 냥냥하게 초과수익 먹게 되면 또 타이밍 봐서 환노출로 갈아타볼 생각임미다.
끗.
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1
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5
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37869 class="iam-cmt" style="display:none;"> Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/tm/view_comment.php on line 68
37869 class='vcm '>
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37869'>
광기잇
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24/05/23 21:46
37869>삭제 주소복사
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저도 현재 고환율은 지속하기 어려울 것 같다고 생각하긴 합니다. 다만 변수가 굉장히 많아서 환헤지 풀베팅하기에는 좀 고민스럽읍니다 헤지비용도 비싸구요
일본의 경우 ISA 해외 직투 규모가 너무 커서 엔저 원인 중 하나라고 할 수준이라고...
https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Markets/Currencies/Why-is-Japan-s-yen-falling-Retail-investors-are-one-reason
https://cm.asiae.co.kr/article/2023091510012502625
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일본의 경우 ISA 해외 직투 규모가 너무 커서 엔저 원인 중 하나라고 할 수준이라고...
https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Markets/Currencies/Why-is-Japan-s-yen-falling-Retail-investors-are-one-reason
https://cm.asiae.co.kr/article/2023091510012502625
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37869>
37869>
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37870 class="iam-cmt" style="display:none;"> Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/tm/view_comment.php on line 68
37870 class='vcm '>
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37870'>
기아트윈스
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24/05/23 22:09
37870>삭제 주소복사
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ㅇㅇ 우리 환율도 직투가 중요한 원인이라고 한은총재님께서 스포해주셨죠.
그나저나 환헤지비용이 아주 비싸진 않아용. 헤지 etf이랑 노출 etf이랑 총비용 비교한 거 찾아봤는데 0.1~0.2% 정도 차이났던 걸로 기억합니다. 제가 기대하는 중기적 환변동은 10% 정도이니 저정도 비용은 낼 만하다...라고 생각했음
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그나저나 환헤지비용이 아주 비싸진 않아용. 헤지 etf이랑 노출 etf이랑 총비용 비교한 거 찾아봤는데 0.1~0.2% 정도 차이났던 걸로 기억합니다. 제가 기대하는 중기적 환변동은 10% 정도이니 저정도 비용은 낼 만하다...라고 생각했음
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