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홍차넷
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Warning: Use of undefined constant r - assumed 'r' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/outlogin_toby.php on line 51
Warning: Use of undefined constant memo - assumed 'memo' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/lib.php on line 237
Warning: Use of undefined constant is_admin - assumed 'is_admin' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/zero_header.php on line 269
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/zero_header.php on line 300
Warning: Use of undefined constant title - assumed 'title' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/bbs_title.php on line 16
뉴스
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/bbs_title.php on line 21
Warning: Use of undefined constant header - assumed 'header' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/bbs_title.php on line 31
- 새로운 뉴스를 올려주세요.
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Warning: Use of undefined constant use_category - assumed 'use_category' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/include/print_category.php on line 9
전체기타정치IT/컴퓨터방송/연예스포츠경제문화/예술사회게임의료/건강과학/기술국제외신
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Warning: Use of undefined constant name - assumed 'name' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 2
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| Date |
Warning: Use of undefined constant reg_date - assumed 'reg_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 53 22/11/16 01:24:23 Warning: Use of undefined constant mod_date - assumed 'mod_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 56 |
| Name | cummings |
| File #1 | 다운로드.png (79.2 KB), Download : 2 |
| Subject | CSRI “韓출산율 세계 최저… 10년 후 경제적 압박 시작” |
 https://v.daum.net/v/20221107121701981 “고령화 반전 없어… 부양 비율 급증할 것” 크레디트스위스 리서치 인스티튜트(CSRI) 지난 4일(현지시간) 발표한 ‘아시아의 고령화가 전 세계에 미치는 영향’(The global effects of Asia’s aging population) 보고서에서 “한국의 향후 젊은 세대 출산율은 이전 세대보다 더욱 낮아질 것으로 예상되며, 이에 따라 경제활동 인구가 감소하고 부양 비율이 증가하는 시기가 도래하고 있다”며 이같이 짚었다. CSRI는 이어 “한국의 경제활동 가능 인구는 2020년에서 2030년까지 매년 1% 감소할 것으로 예상된다”며 부양 비율 증가로 인한 경제적 압박이 10여년 후에 시작할 것이라고 내다봤다. CSRI는 “1980∼1990년 출생한 사람들은 연평균 65만∼80만명으로, 2030년에 최고 소득 연령인 40대에 도달한다”며 “이들의 직장 생활이 길어지면 경제활동 인구 감소세 및 부양 비율 증가 효과가 일부 상쇄된다”고 설명했다. 그러면서 “현재 한국의 연금 기여도는 월 소득 9%로, 다른 OECD 국가보다 낮은 수준이지만 현재로서는 보험기여료가 연금급여료를 충당할 수 있는 단계”라면서 “부양 비율이 1980년 수준으로 올라가는 2030년대 중반이 되면 고령화로 인한 압력이 본격화될 것”이라고 전망했다. CSRI는 한국의 이같은 부양 비율 증가 원인으로 출산율 하락을 꼽았다. CSRI는 “한국의 출산율과 혼인율은 지난 20년간 급격히 감소하고 있고, 2021년 기준 한국 출산율은 0.81명으로 전 세계에서 가장 낮은 수준”이라며 “현 고령화 추세는 반전 없이 지속될 것”이라고 예상했다. 크레디트스위스는 한국을 비롯해 중국, 일본, 대만, 인도, 인도네시아, 필리핀, 베트남, 태국, 말레이시아 등 아시아 10개국의 인구구조적 변화가 경제적 전환 속도를 앞지르고 있다고도 분석하면서 “이들 국가의 부양 비율이 인플레이션(물가상승)에 영향을 미칠 정도로 급격하게 증가하는 현상은 2035년 이후 발생할 가능성이 있다”고 했다. ==================================== 8,90년대 생들이 부유해져서 본격적으로 자가주택을 가지는 5~10년쯤 뒤엔 한번 더 주택가격이 상승하긴 할거라고 생각하는데 그 다음 사이클도 또 크게 있을런지는 잘 모르겠습니다? 그때쯤 되면 진짜 제2의 일본이 되어있을것 같기도 하고, 우스개소리로 일본을 앞서게 될것 같기도 하네요. 그렇다고해서 대한민국이 어려워지고 경제가 힘들어 집값이 내려간다해서 대한민국을 떠나 이민을 갈 각오까지는 없고, 50대에 실거주1주택을 팔고 무주택으로 해외 투자라도 할거냐...하면 그건 또 쉽지않은 선택일테니;; 아마도 그때쯤엔 아이 대학을 보내거나 떠나보내고 나면 노년에 지낼만한 곳으로 이사가고 그 집에 대한 주택연금을 받으면 집값 하락 위험성이 커버되지 않을까? 라고 막연히 생각해봅니다ㅎㅎ 국민연금이나 삼성을 포함한 기업들이 힘내줬으면 좋겠네요. Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 133 Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 146 Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 161 0 이 게시판에 등록된 cummings님의 최근 게시물
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Warning: Use of undefined constant HTTP_HOST - assumed 'HTTP_HOST' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/cmt_replace.php on line 3
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 6
Warning: Use of undefined constant file_name - assumed 'file_name' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 28
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249873 class="iamcmt" style="display:none;"> Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 66
249873 class='vcm '>
Warning: Use of undefined constant x - assumed 'x' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 70
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Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 121
249873'> 알료사
Warning: Use of undefined constant mod_date - assumed 'mod_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 133
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Warning: Use of undefined constant reg_date - assumed 'reg_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 142
22/11/16 07:47
249873>삭제 주소복사
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 150
Ai.. 해줄거지?
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 158
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 166
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 171
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 158
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 166
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 171
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
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