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홍차넷
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뉴스
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- 새로운 뉴스를 올려주세요.
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전체기타정치IT/컴퓨터방송/연예스포츠경제문화/예술사회게임의료/건강과학/기술국제외신
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| Date |
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| Name | 구글 고랭이 |
| Subject | '당선전망' 윤석열 43%로 우세..李·尹 지지율 35% 동률 [NBS] |
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https://news.v.daum.net/v/20220210115134313 전국지표조사 리포트 제64호 (2022년 2월 2주) http://nbsurvey.kr/archives/4181 이재명 더불어민주당 후보와 윤석열 국민의힘 후보가 지지율 35%로 동률을 기록한 여론조사 결과가 나왔다. 엠브레인퍼블릭·케이스탯리서치·코리아리서치·한국리서치가 지난 7~9일 전국 만 18세 이상 남녀 1007명을 대상으로 한 전국지표조사(NBS·응답률 29.7%, 표본오차 95% 신뢰수준에서 ± 3.1%포인트)의 '대선후보 지지도'에서 이 후보와 윤 후보가 모두 35%를 기록했다. 이 후보는 2주 전 조사와 같은 수치가 나왔지만 윤 후보가 1%포인트 상승하면서 두 사람은 동률이 됐다. 이번 조사에서 안철수 국민의당 후보는 2주 전 대비 1%포인트 하락한 9%, 심상정 정의당 후보는 2%포인트 상승한 4%로 집계됐다. 자세한 사항은 NBS 여론조사 홈페이지 또는 중앙선거여론조사심의위 홈페이지를 참조하면 된다.  대통령 국정운영 평가 – 긍정적 평가 43%, 부정적 평가 51% 정당지지도 – 더불어민주당 33%, 국민의힘 34%, 정의당 5%, 국민의당 6%, 태도유보 21% 투표 참여 의향 – ‘반드시 투표할 것’ 적극적 투표층 80% 대선후보 지지도 – 이재명 35%, 윤석열 35%, 안철수 9%, 심상정 4%, 태도유보 16% 대선후보 지지 이유 – 이재명 지지 이유 : 후보 개인의 자질과 능력(47%) – 윤석열 지지 이유 : 정권교체 위해(67%) – 안철수 지지 이유 : 후보 개인의 자질과 능력(29%), 다른 후보가 되는 것이 싫어서(27%) 대선후보 지지 강도 – 계속 지지할 것이다 74% > 지지 후보를 바꿀 수도 있다 24% 대선 당선 전망 – 이재명 34% < 윤석열 43% ☞ 1월 4주차 조사 대비 이재명 4%p 하락, 윤석열 6%p 상승 대통령선거에 대한 인식 – 국정 안정론 42%, 정권 심판론 45% 대선후보 호감도 – 이재명 호감 39% < 비호감 58% – 윤석열 호감 40% < 비호감 58% – 심상정 호감 37% < 비호감 57% – 안철수 호감 48% = 비호감 48% 도덕성 평가 – 안철수 40%, 윤석열 16%, 심상정 15%, 이재명 12% 등의 순 대선후보 TV 토론 영향 – 영향 크다 48%, 영향 없다 46% ● 조사지역: 전국 ● 조사기간: 2022년 2월 7일 ~ 2월 9일 2022-02-07 13 시 00 분 ~ 21 시 00 분 2022-02-08 10 시 00 분 ~ 21 시 00 분 2022-02-09 10 시 00 분 ~ 16 시 00 분 ● 조사대상(모집단): 만 18세 이상 남녀 ● 조사방법: 국내 통신 3사가 제공하는 휴대전화 가상번호(100%)를 이용한 전화면접조사 ● 표본추출: 성·연령·지역별 층화확률추출 ● 표본크기: 1,007명 (가중값 적용 사례수 : 1,007명) ● 피조사자 선정방법: 성·연령·지역으로 층화된 가상번호 내 무작위 추출 ● 응답률: 29.7% (총 3,386명과 통화하여 그 중 1,007명 응답 완료) ● 접촉률: 24.9% ● 가중치 산출 및 적용: 성･연령･지역별 가중치 부여(셀가중) – 2022년 1월말 행정안전부 주민등록인구 통계 기준 ● 표본오차: 95% 신뢰수준에서 ± 3.1% point ● 조사기관: 엠브레인퍼블릭ㆍ케이스탯리서치ㆍ코리아리서치ㆍ한국리서치 NBS 여론조사가 나왔습니다. 현재 한국에서 제일 돈과 시간, 인력을 많이 들여서 응답률을 극한까지 끌어올린 대기업 4사들이 모여 만든 품질좋은 여론조사로 매우 신뢰할 만 합니다. 1. 이재명-윤석열 지지율 동률 : 이재명이 생각보다 완전 불리한 판은 아니고 해볼만하다. 2. 정권 재창출 vs 정권 교체 가 아니라 국정 안정론 vs 정권 심판론 으로 물어보면 꽤 여당에게 유리한 결과가 나옵니다. 3. 문재인 지지율은 40초중반으로 임기 말까지 갈 거 같습니다. 이재명은 이 지지율만 받아먹어도 승리하지만 그렇지 못하죠. 4. 도덕성 평가에서 안철수가 상대적으로 높은 평가를 받았지만 대단한 지표는 아닙니다. 5. 대선 당선 전망이 윤석열이 높게 나왔는데 최근 여조의 흐름이 좋게 나오니 그렇게 생각되는 거 같습니다. 6. 안철수의 지지층 상당수를 진보 진영이 차지하므로, 윤-안 간 극적인 단일화 효과를 기대하기 어렵습니다. 7. 윤석열은 개인적 매력은 거의 없고 오로지 정권 교체 원툴입니다. Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 133 Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 146 Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 161 0 이 게시판에 등록된 구글 고랭이님의 최근 게시물
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Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/view.php on line 646
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/view.php on line 646
Warning: Use of undefined constant HTTP_HOST - assumed 'HTTP_HOST' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/cmt_replace.php on line 3
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 6
Warning: Use of undefined constant file_name - assumed 'file_name' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 28
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 65
201525 class="iamcmt" style="display:none;"> Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 66
201525 class='vcm '>
Warning: Use of undefined constant x - assumed 'x' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 70
Warning: Use of undefined constant x - assumed 'x' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 71
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 76
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 117
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 118
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 119
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 120
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 121
201525'> 파로돈탁스
Warning: Use of undefined constant mod_date - assumed 'mod_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 133
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 140
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 140
Warning: Use of undefined constant reg_date - assumed 'reg_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 142
22/02/10 12:39
201525>삭제 주소복사
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 150
코로나+부동산 구도가 워낙 이재명한테 불리한 싸움인지라, 안철수가 이재명한테 붙지 않는 이상 윤석열이 우세하지 않나 싶어요.
일각에서는 샤이 이재명을 얘기하지만 부끄러운 걸로 따지자면 샤이 윤석열도 만만치 않을테고(...)
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 158
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 166
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 171
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
일각에서는 샤이 이재명을 얘기하지만 부끄러운 걸로 따지자면 샤이 윤석열도 만만치 않을테고(...)
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 158
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 166
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 171
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
201525>
201525>
