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홍차넷
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티타임
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- 다양한 주제에 대해 자유롭게 글을 작성하는 게시판입니다.
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전체기타일상/생각꿀팁/강좌방송/연예도서/문학영화의료/건강문화/예술경제생활체육과학/기술철학/종교정치요리/음식역사여행육아/가정IT/컴퓨터음악창작게임스포츠사회오프모임
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| Date |
Warning: Use of undefined constant reg_date - assumed 'reg_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 53 18/09/30 18:58:06 Warning: Use of undefined constant mod_date - assumed 'mod_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 56 |
| Name | 손금불산입 |
| Subject | 어느 나라 리그까지가 빅리그인가? |
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주말을 맞이해 잉여력을 발휘해서 재미있는 해외축구 글을 써보려고 데이터를 찾아보던 찰나에 사전 작업으로 과연 빅리그 구분을 어떻게 해야하는가라는 문제에 직면하게 되었습니다. 그래서 본격 본론보다 서론이 더 복잡한 작업에 들어가게 되었네요. 이 글은 그 결과물입니다. 제가 구분을 위해 사용할 도구는 UEFA 포인트와 ELO 레이팅입니다. 먼저 UEFA 포인트입니다. https://www.uefa.com/memberassociations/uefarankings/country/#/yr/2018 시즌 도중에 쌓아올린 포인트는 별 의미가 없다고 보고 시즌이 종료한 시점 기준으로 포인트를 비교해보겠습니다. 그리고 당해 벌게된 포인트는 편차가 심할 뿐더러 UEFA에서도 별도로 단일 기간 포인트로 뭔가를 반영하거나 하지는 않으니 과거 5년 누적 포인트로 순위를 계산하는 방식을 그대로 차용해보았습니다. 그리고 연도 표시의 간소화를 위해서 2000-2001시즌 시작 직전을 2000년도로 표기하고 이후 연도도 동일하게 표시하였습니다.  해서 나온게 위의 그래프. 원데이터 숫자를 일일이 수작업으로 옮겨 쓴거라 오타나 오차가 있을 수도 있습니다. 스페인, 잉글랜드, 이탈리아, 독일, 프랑스는 특정 시점을 제외하면 대부분의 기간에서 상위 리그 위치를 놓치지 않았기에 이들로 그래프를 그려봤고, 6위 리그는 네덜란드, 그리스, 포르투갈, 러시아가 번갈아가면서 차지하였지만 참고를 위하여 가장 높은 점수를 적용하여 6위 리그 그룹을 따로 표시해 보았습니다. 보시면 아시겠지만 6위 그룹이 프랑스를 뛰어넘어서 5위를 차지한 기간도 있습니다. 그것도 비교적 최근. 그리고 이번엔 ELO 레이팅을 사용해보도록 하겠습니다. http://clubelo.com/ ELO 레이팅에서도 각 팀 순위를 계산하고 그것을 토대로 리그 전체의 레이팅도 계산을 합니다. 그게 단순 평균인건지 또 별도의 계산식을 두고 하는지는 잘 모르겠지만... UEFA 포인트가 유럽 대항전에 나가는 상위 팀들에게만 편중된 특성을 보이기에 리그 전체 팀들의 레이팅을 반영하는 ELO 레이팅은 좋은 보완수단이 될 수 있을겁니다.  원래 레이팅 점수는 1600점~1800점의 분포이지만 비교를 용이하게 하기 위해서 십단위로 줄여서 표시했습니다. UEFA 점수에 비해서는 좀 격동적인 변화를 보이는게 특징이네요. 확실히 UEFA 점수와는 다른 포인트가 여러가지 보입니다. 몇가지 포인트를 집어보자면, 1. 칼치오폴리가 2006년입니다. UEFA 포인트 그래프를 보면 그 직후에 EPL이 치고나가는 것과 맞물려 2위 그룹과 차이가 크게 벌어졌고... 어느정도 회복하는데 딱 10년 걸렸네요. 반면 ELO 레이팅으로 해석하자면 칼치오폴리보다도 양 밀란의 몰락이 리그 수준에 더 악영향을 끼친듯. 2. 프리미어리그가 챔피언스리그 4강에 3팀을 올려놓은건 2006-07시즌부터 2008-2009시즌까지 3시즌입니다. UEFA 포인트로는 프리미어리그가 라 리가를 추월한 적이 있지만, ELO 레이팅에 의하면 라 리가가 타 리그에 추월당한 적은 21세기 이후로 단 한 번도 없습니다. 3. 클롭의 도르트문트 부임이 2008년. 묘하게도 분데스리가 상승세의 타이밍과 겹칩니다. 바이언과 도르트문트의 챔스 결승 맞대결은 2012-2013 시즌. 4. 호날두의 첫 발롱도르가 2008년. 이 때부터는 확실한 메날두의 시대라고 봐도 무방할 듯 싶습니다. 호날두의 레알 이적은 2009년. 2009년부터 라 리가는 UEFA 포인트 천상계행 열차를..  물론 스페인이 천상계로 날아오른건 이러한 결과의 영향도 큽니다만... 5. 올림피크 리옹의 리그 앙 7연패는 2001-2002시즌부터 2007-2008시즌입니다. 사실 살을 많이 붙여서 쓰다가 과감하게 다 짤라버리고 간략하게 줄여버렸습니다. 생각보다 확실한 결론을 내기 어렵더군요. 더 많은 논의는 여러분들에게 맡기는 걸로.. Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 133 Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 146 Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 161 0 이 게시판에 등록된 손금불산입님의 최근 게시물
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115361 class="iamcmt" style="display:none;"> Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 66
115361 class='vcm '>
Warning: Use of undefined constant x - assumed 'x' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 70
Warning: Use of undefined constant x - assumed 'x' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 71
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 76
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 117
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 118
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 119
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 120
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 121
115361'> SCV
Warning: Use of undefined constant mod_date - assumed 'mod_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 133
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 140
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 140
Warning: Use of undefined constant reg_date - assumed 'reg_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 142
18/09/30 19:03
115361>삭제 주소복사
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 150
막짤 ㅎㄷㄷ 하네요
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 158
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 166
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 171
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 158
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 166
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 171
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
115361>
115361>
