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홍차넷
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티타임
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- 다양한 주제에 대해 자유롭게 글을 작성하는 게시판입니다.
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전체기타일상/생각꿀팁/강좌방송/연예도서/문학영화의료/건강문화/예술경제생활체육과학/기술철학/종교정치요리/음식역사여행육아/가정IT/컴퓨터음악창작게임스포츠사회오프모임
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| Date |
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| Name | 불타는밀밭 |
| Subject | 최후통첩이론과 po죽창wer |
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최후통첩이론은 이제 너무 유명해져서 Common sense의 지위를 차지하고 있다고 보고 기본적인 설명은 링크로 때우려 합니다. http://terms.naver.com/entry.nhn?docId=3435133&cid=58345&categoryId=58345 경제학에서 최후 통첩이론이 특히나 중요하게 다루어지는 이유가, 저건 그 전의 경제학이 가정해왔던 경제학적 인간(homo economicus)과 완전히 대치되는 결과거든요. 경제학에서 가정하는 '독립된 효용함수'의 인간을 전제하는데.' 독립된 효용함수'라는 것의 의미는 내가 이득을 보면 남이 이득을 보든지 손해를 입든지 나는 상관하지 않는다는 의미입니다. 그래서 경제학적 인간을 두 명을 전제하고 저 게임을 시켜 보면 결과가 1원을 주고 받는 것으로 나옵니다. 1원짜리가 있다면 말이죠. 그런데 실제는 안 그렇거든요. 제안자는 평균적으로 40~50%의 몫을 제안했고, 수락자는 만약에 제안자가 20%미만을 제시하면 그냥 자기가 손해를 보더라도 거절해 버렸다고 합니다. 어렸을 적에 자주 있던 일이죠. 형동생이나 남매에게 '둘이 사이좋게 나눠 먹어' 라고 뭔가를 맞기면 그게 제대로 나눠지던가요? 결국 싸움이 일어나고 엄마는 이런 나쁜 아이에겐 간식을 줄 수 없겠다며 빼앗아 버리죠. 이와 크게 다를 바가 없습니다. 어른들이라고 해서요. 그렇다면 이런 경우에, A(제안자)가 자신의 제안을 받아들이지 않았다고 B를 비난할 수 있을까요? '공짜로 뭐가 생기면 감사하게 받을 일이지 너 때문에 너는 물론이고 나까지 손해를 봤어!!, 야! 왜 괜히 욕심을 부려?!!' 이런 의사 표시를 하는 A는 경제학적 인간의 관점과 논리에서 말하고 있는 것입니다. B도 경제학적 인간이라면 무조건 거래는 성사되어야 합니다. 그렇지만 B는 그러지 않았죠. 적어도 B가 제안자의 입장에 설 때는 모르겠지만, 수락자의 시점에서 B는 경제학적 인간이 아니라는 것입니다. 그러면 뭘까? 최정규 교수님의 '이타적 인간의 출현'이라는 저서에는 '응보적 인간' 이라는 표현이 사용되었던 것으로 기억합니다. 너와 나는 동등한데, 네가 80먹고 나는 20 먹는 꼴은 원하지 않는다. 그럴 바엔 우리 모두 0 먹고 0 먹어서 평등해지자. 20밖에 안주겠다고? 괘씸해! 우리 모두 X 되보자!!! 이게 응보적 인간의 논리가 되겠습니다. 올해의 세계인들은 브렉시트로도 모잘라서 트럼프를 대통령으로 뽑아 버리고 말았습니다. 저는 두 가지 현상 모두 이러한 '응보적 인간'들의 반란으로 해석하고 있습니다. 브렉시트를 제창한 정치인 자신들 조차 설마 이게 가결될 줄은 몰라서 우왕좌왕하는 브렉시트를 통과시킨 원동력은 '우리나라(영국)가 유럽(EU)과 연결되어서 나아지는 점이야 있겠지. 이론적으로는 확실히 그렇다고 잘난 놈들이 말하데. 맞는 거 같아. 하지만 자본가나 공장주들, 아니면 이민자들이나 이득 보는 거 아니야? 그 이득이 나에겐 전혀 돌아오지 않는 거 같은데? ' 라고 생각했던 영국의 하 중층 시민들이라고 해석되고 트럼프를 당선시킨 원동력은 '오바마? 훌륭한 대통령이었지. 뭐 8년동안 경제도 안정되고 지표도 좋아졌다고 하네. 그렇지만 내 사정은 조금도 나아지지 않은 거 같아. 좀 더 화끈한 변화가 필요해. 트럼프를 뽑겠어. 최소한 X 되더라도, 다 같이 X되는거야!!!' 라고 생각하는 계층이 아닐까 합니다. 합리적이지 않죠. 자기 파괴적이고 말이죠. 그렇지만 이해를 할 수 없는 바는 아닙니다. 분노한 사람들에게 투표권은 최후 통첩 게임에서의 선택권과 같은 의미였겠죠. 따라서 이건 정치적 의사 표현이라기 보단 감정적 의사 표현에 가깝습니다. 그렇습니다만 어떻게 하겠습니까? 투표는 1표를 1표로 계산할 뿐 그 표가 어떤 심리에서, 어떤 논리로 나왔는지는 묻지 않는 것을. 이제 트럼프에게 투표하지 않은 미국인들은 트럼프에게 투표했다는 미국인을 비난하겠죠. "야,늬들 때문에 쟤가 대통령 됐잖아. 우린 다 이제 망할거야. 어쩔거야?!" 트럼프에게 투표를 한 사람들은 대놓고 말을 하지는 못하겠지만 속으로는 아주 즐거워 할 지도 모르겠습니다. '망해도 같이 망하는게 내가 바라는 바다!' 라고요. 미국 전체의 미래를 걸고 했었던 최후 통첩 게임의 결과라고나 할까요. Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 133 Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 146 Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 161 2 이 게시판에 등록된 불타는밀밭님의 최근 게시물
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Warning: Use of undefined constant name - assumed 'name' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/view.php on line 644
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/view.php on line 646
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/view.php on line 646
Warning: Use of undefined constant HTTP_HOST - assumed 'HTTP_HOST' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/cmt_replace.php on line 3
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 6
Warning: Use of undefined constant file_name - assumed 'file_name' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 28
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 65
60046 class="iamcmt" style="display:none;"> Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 66
60046 class='vcm '>
Warning: Use of undefined constant x - assumed 'x' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 70
Warning: Use of undefined constant x - assumed 'x' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 71
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 76
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 117
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 118
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 119
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 120
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 121
60046'> Ben사랑
Warning: Use of undefined constant mod_date - assumed 'mod_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 133
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 140
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 140
Warning: Use of undefined constant reg_date - assumed 'reg_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 142
16/11/11 03:41
60046>삭제 주소복사
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 150
그렇게 같이 물고 늘어짐으로 해서 "우리를 더 봐달라"는 의사표현을 한다고 볼 수도 있을 것 같아요. 앞으로 공화당이건 민주당이건 경제적으로 아래에 있는 사람들에게 더 정책적인 배려를 해 줄 수밖에 없게 되겠죠. 2보 전진을 위해서는 일시적인 1보 후퇴도 감수할 수 있는 것이니.
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 158
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 166
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 171
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 158
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 166
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 171
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
60046>
60046>
