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홍차넷
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티타임
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- 다양한 주제에 대해 자유롭게 글을 작성하는 게시판입니다.
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전체기타일상/생각꿀팁/강좌방송/연예도서/문학영화의료/건강문화/예술경제생활체육과학/기술철학/종교정치요리/음식역사여행육아/가정IT/컴퓨터음악창작게임스포츠사회오프모임
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| Date |
Warning: Use of undefined constant reg_date - assumed 'reg_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 53 16/06/16 11:29:40 Warning: Use of undefined constant mod_date - assumed 'mod_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 56 |
| Name | NightBAya |
| Subject | The Big Alien Theory |
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< Aliens: Are We Looking in the Wrong Place? created by Minute Physics (영어 자막) > 우리가 사는 우주에는 우리 말고도 다른 지적 생명체들, 외계인들이 존재할 지도 모릅니다. 여러분들은 외계인이라고 하면 어떤 모습이 떠오르시나요?  < 영화 속 외계인의 모습 (E.T. (위) / 화성침공 (아래)) > 그렇다면 지적 능력을 가진 외계인이 존재한다면 어떠한 환경에서 어떠한 모습으로 살고 있을 가능성이 높을까요? The Big Alien Theory(커다란 외계인 이론...이라고 부르면 될까요?)에 따르면 지적 능력을 가진 외계인은 지구보다 작은 행성에서 인간보다 적은 수가 살고 있으며, 그 크기는 우리보다 클 것이라고 예측합니다. 얼핏 들으면 물음표가 떠오르는 이야기이지만 나름대로 통계적인 근거를 바탕으로 한 이야기입니다. 많은 경우에서 많은 개인들을 여러 크기의 그룹으로 나누고 이를 크기에 따라 나열하면, 중간에 있는 개인은 중간 크기의 그룹 보다는 더 큰 크기의 그룹에 속하게 됩니다. 달리 말하자면, 50% 이상의 개인이 속한 그룹의 수는 나머지 그룹의 수보다 보통은 작습니다. 예를 들어 인구수를 기준으로 국가들을 배열하였을 때, 50% 이상의 개인은 몇 개의 국가에 집중되어 있고, 50% 이상의 국가의 인구수 합은 전체 인구에 비해서 적게 됩니다. 종교인의 경우나 EPL 각 팀의 팬의 경우에도 같은 이야기를 할 수 있습니다. 그리고 다른 특별한 근거가 없다면 우리는 다수가 속한 그룹에 속한다고 가정하는 것이 합리적일 것입니다. 따라서 상대적으로 소수로 이루어진 그룹에 다른 외계인이 있게 될 것이고 따라서 더 큰 크기와 더 적은 수의 외계인을 가정할 수 있을 것입니다. 그리고 더 적은 수의 외계인이 사는 행성은 우리가 사는 지구보다 더 작을 것이라고 예상할 수 있을 것입니다. 자세한 이야기 http://www.thebigalientheory.com/ 관련 논문 The Size Distribution of Inhabited Planets - http://arxiv.org/pdf/1503.07804v3.pdf The longevity of habitable planets and the development of intelligent life - http://arxiv.org/pdf/1601.05063v1.pdf Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 133 Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 146 Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 161 0 이 게시판에 등록된 NightBAya님의 최근 게시물
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43525 class="iamcmt" style="display:none;"> Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 66
43525 class='vcm '>
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43525'> 줄리
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16/06/16 20:55
43525>삭제 주소복사
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저도 저 채널 애용하고 자주 찾아보는데 사실 이 부분은 잘 이해가 안가요. 외계생명체의 분포가 지구상에서 관측되는 분포와 어떤 상관관계가 있는지... 맨체스터 유나이티드나 중국이나 인도 같은 경우도 어느정도 뭐랄까 러프하게 말하면 스노우볼링이 되서 저렇게 덩치가 커진건데 우리가 상정하는 엑소 플레닛은 그런 시스템에 포섭시켜서 설명할 수 없을 것 같거든요. 제가 뭔가 놓치고 있는건가 싶기도 하고. 사실 통계에서 정규분포를 가정할 때도 모집단에 대한 것도 아니고 순전히 표본분포가 CLT에 따라서 정규분포를 수학적으로 따를 수 밖에 없기 때문에 그런걸로 아는데 이건 그냥 너무 주먹구구라...
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