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홍차넷
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티타임
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- 다양한 주제에 대해 자유롭게 글을 작성하는 게시판입니다.
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전체기타일상/생각꿀팁/강좌방송/연예도서/문학영화의료/건강문화/예술경제생활체육과학/기술철학/종교정치요리/음식역사여행육아/가정IT/컴퓨터음악창작게임스포츠사회오프모임
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| Date |
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| Name | 카르스 |
| Link #1 | https://www.gallup.co.kr/gallupdb/reportContent.asp?seqNo=1271 |
| Link #2 | https://hrcopinion.co.kr/archives/21179 |
| Subject | 코로나19 위기 선방에서 정부의 공은 얼마나 되는가? |
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2년간 전세계를 초토화시킨 코로나19 대처에 한국은 선방했다는 게 국제적 중론이지만, 정작 국내 의견은 많이 갈립니다. 친민주당/친문재인 성향의 사람들은 문재인의 적절한 대응 없었으면(특히 극초기 대응) 선방이 불가능했다고 보고, 반민주당/반문재인 성향의 사람들은 선방했던 건 정부가 아니라 국가시스템, 국민성, 사스/메르스 사태에서의 경험 덕이 컸으며, 문 정부의 정책상 삽질들을 거론하면서 비판하기도 합니다. 실제로 여론조사에서는 방역정책 잘했다 못했다가 거의 1:1 박빙으로 나옵니다. 한국갤럽 올해 2월 조사(이게 최신입니다)에서는 잘한다가 45% vs 못한다가 44%였고, 한국리서치 3월 조사에서는 47% vs 50%였습니다. 0.7%차로 승자가 결정난 이번 대선급 격차고, 이 문제에 대한 의견이 정파에 따라 많이 갈렸음을 암시합니다. 워낙 많은 요소와 불확실성이 겹친데다 현재진행형인 시국이라, 코로나19 정책을 객관적으로 평가하기 어려운 감이 있고, 정파적인 본능이 앞서기 쉬운 상황이죠. 그렇다면 어떻게 보는 게 맞을까요? 제일 좋은 것은 코로나19 대응 백서가 나올 때까지 기다리는 거지만 그러려면 몇 년은 더 기다려야겠죠. 개인적으로 추천하는 방법은, "지금 코로나19 정국과 비슷한 과거 한국의 사례를 떠올리고, 그때 정부 평가가 어땠는지를 기억해서 코로나19 시국에 대입해보는" 방식입니다. 바로 사례 두 개가 떠오릅니다. 김대중 정부의 IMF 경제위기 극복 이명박 정부의 세계 금융위기 극복 위 두 사례는 현재 문재인 정부의 코로나19 위기 극복과 비슷한 점이 많습니다. 1. 전 세계, 혹은 최소한 대륙 전체를 뒤흔들었던 대형 위기였습니다. 2. 그 대응에서 한국은 상대적으로 선방했고, 위기 극복에 성공했다는 호평을 받았습니다. 3. 정부 대응 이외에도, 위기를 극복하기에 사회적으로 유리한 요소들이 많았습니다. IMF 경제위기에서는 금모으기 운동이 있었고, 사회 각계에서 IMF의 구조조정을 (지나치게 고분고분 수용했다는 지적이 나올 정도로) 비교적 큰 반발 없이 받아들이는 등 위기극복 의지가 높았습니다. 조심스럽지만 IMF 금융위기가 한국경제 펀더멘탈의 근본적 결함보다는 유동성 위기에 가까웠다는 일각의 의견도 있었고요. 세계 금융위기 극복에서는 IMF 트라우마에 의한 비상상황 대비가 크게 기여했으며, 코로나19 위기에는 정부 시스템, 국민성, 사스/메르스 극복 경험이 크게 작용했습니다. 4. 성공했다는 평가에도 불구하고 여러 이면이 있었고 많은 숙제를 남겼습니다. IMF 경제위기 극복의 후유증이야 말하자면 입만 아프고, 세계 금융위기 극복 과정에서도 초기 환율정책이 깔끔하지 못했고 일자리 나누기처럼 고통을 노동자에게 전가한 감이 있었습니다. 코로나 대응은 초기 백신도입 실패, 의료진/공무원 과부하, 자영업자 보상 부족, 일관성이 아쉽고 다소 행정편의적인 정책, 국민과의 소통 미흡 등이 문제였고. 현재 시점에서 김대중의 IMF 극복과 이명박의 세계 금융위기 극복은 공으로 평가받습니다. 세계적으로 호평받았고, 상대적으로 잘한 편이었고, 따져보면 여러 문제가 있었고 한국 사회가 대응하기 유리한 환경이었지만 그럼에도 불구하고 공으로 인정받는 편입니다. 위기 극복 시기에는 말도 많았고 욕도 많이 먹었지만 지금은 평가가 더 좋아졌지요. 같은 이유로 문재인의 코로나19 위기 극복도 공으로 인정받기 충분합니다. 김대중의 IMF 대처, 이명박의 금융위기 대처와 비슷한 반열에서 평가되야 마땅하고, 코로나19 시국이 끝나고 몇 년 지나면 두 대처가 그랬듯 고평가를 받을 것 같습니다. 좀 조심스럽게 말하자면, 문재인의 코로나19 위기 대처의 공은 김대중의 IMF 대처의 공보단 작고, 이명박의 금융위기 극복 대처의 공과 비슷한 수준으로 보입니다. 문재인이 김대중만큼 리더십이 훌륭한 대통령은 아니었고, 김대중은 IT산업을 육성하고 한국을 본격적으로 복지국가화시키는 데 성공했는데, 문재인은 그 정도까진 아니었거든요. 물론 전국민 고용보험, 상병수당 도입은 인정하지만 산업 육성과 복지국가화의 시초에 비할 바는 아닙니다. p.s. 타임라인에 너무 똑같은 주제로 올려서 지겹다는 민원(?)이 있어, 내용 보강해서 그냥 티타임에 올려봅니다. Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 133 Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 146 Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view.php on line 161 4 이 게시판에 등록된 카르스님의 최근 게시물
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Warning: Use of undefined constant x - assumed 'x' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/view.php on line 612
Warning: Use of undefined constant name - assumed 'name' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/view.php on line 612
Warning: Use of undefined constant reg_date - assumed 'reg_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/view.php on line 620
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/view.php on line 628
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/view.php on line 628
Warning: Use of undefined constant HTTP_HOST - assumed 'HTTP_HOST' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/view.php on line 640
Warning: Use of undefined constant name - assumed 'name' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/view.php on line 644
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/view.php on line 646
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/view.php on line 646
Warning: Use of undefined constant HTTP_HOST - assumed 'HTTP_HOST' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/pb/cmt_replace.php on line 3
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 6
Warning: Use of undefined constant file_name - assumed 'file_name' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 28
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 65
171142 class="iamcmt" style="display:none;"> Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 66
171142 class='vcm '>
Warning: Use of undefined constant x - assumed 'x' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 70
Warning: Use of undefined constant x - assumed 'x' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 71
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 76
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 117
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 118
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 119
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 120
Warning: Use of undefined constant ismember - assumed 'ismember' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 121
171142'> 토비
Warning: Use of undefined constant mod_date - assumed 'mod_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 133
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 134
수정됨
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 140
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 140
Warning: Use of undefined constant reg_date - assumed 'reg_date' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 142
22/03/20 15:43
171142>삭제 주소복사
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 150
극복을 말하기에는 아직 한참 진행중이라 좀 더 진행된 뒤에 따져보면 좋을 것 같습니다.
발단 전개 위기 절정… 정도를 지나고 있는 것 같습니다.
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 158
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 166
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
9
발단 전개 위기 절정… 정도를 지나고 있는 것 같습니다.
Warning: Use of undefined constant level - assumed 'level' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 158
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 166
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant password - assumed 'password' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 168
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 172
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant no - assumed 'no' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
Warning: Use of undefined constant vote - assumed 'vote' (this will throw an Error in a future version of PHP) in /home/redtea/html/a_skin/bbsd/view_comment.php on line 173
9
171142>
171142>
